If you haven’t noticed, it’s Tuesday. For those trading bitcoin, this day could bring significant price fluctuations.
Data suggests that Tuesdays have emerged as the most unpredictable day of the week in 2025, especially within the last month, with the average realized volatility reaching 82.
Realized volatility quantifies how much the returns deviate from the market’s average, illustrating historical price movements. Conversely, implied volatility conveys what the market anticipates regarding future price changes.
Additionally, analysis reveals that since the beginning of 2024, March has recorded the highest monthly volatility at 67.
In light of bitcoin’s recent decline of 30% from its peak, its one-month annualized daily realized volatility approached 70, in comparison to an average of around 50. There were only two other occasions in which similar volatility surges were noted: in March 2024, after another ascent to a record high (which was previously $73,000), and in August 2024, amid the unwind of the yen carry trade, as per data from Glassnode.
Disclaimer: Portions of this article were created using AI tools and have been reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and compliance with our standards. For further details, please see the complete AI Policy.